A Material Change of Circumstance

It seems just like yesterday when Nicola Sturgeon told all and sundry that the SNP and Scottish Government would not be pushing for a second Scottish Independence referendum in the foreseeable future, and that would only transpire if there was a material change of circumstance, and that there was a clear and sustained demand for it from the majority of Scots, somewhere around the 60% mark.

There were a number of good reasons for such an approach, namely that fighting a 2nd Independence referendum campaign and losing would be disastrous. It would ensure that it would be decades or longer before it could be raised again.
The second being voter exhaustion, namely from successive campaigns coming hard on each others heels. We have had a 2 year Indy ref campaign and vote,EU elections,Westminster election,holyrood election and EU referendum,to be followed shortly by council elections.
The third being that the SNP and the Scottish government needed time to analyse the Indy referendum just past, and learn the lessons from it, and devise a strategy for when the next Indy referendum came into being.

I don’t have confirmation of this, but I suspect from what I have gleaned in the pipeline that such a move was unlikely to take place until after 2020.
What neither Nicola Sturgeon or the SNP could have predicted and taken into account was the madness and mayhem that Westminster has inflicted upon itself and everyone else in the past couple of months.. Such insanity and self implosion after the Brexit vote could never have been predicted and planned for.
All of this has given Nicola sturgeon and the Scottish Government an unprecedented opportunity and I suspect a massive headache. No room now for the gradualist long term approach, that comfort blanket has been removed. Plans will have to be brought forward, diplomacy will have to be stepped up,
Whatever they had planned for the Summer campaign which was designed to be the start of a longer drive and process towards another Indy referendum will have to be ripped up, re planned, re written, and for that they need some more time.

The last thing that Nicola Sturgeon and the SNP can afford to do is fire the starting gun too soon. They have to be seen to genuinely make every attempt to try and find a solution to the Brexit situation within the present structures, which means playing along with the British government until eventually all avenues have been seen to have been explored and found wanting.
Westminster will do as it has always done, kick the whole issue around in the long grass for as long as they possibly can, which means we may have to wait a while for them to set Article 50 into motion, and until that happens, there will be no call from the Scottish government for Indyref2.
In the meantime, Nicola and the SNP are hoping that Labour Scottish branch will sort out their own internal conflict, at least sufficiently enough for them to hopefully see some sense for once and support Independence this time.
It has been noted that The Tory branch assistant leader Jackson Carlaw has written to Kezia asking her and her party to join with the Tories again in BetterTogether2 when Scots Independence referendum does come…. If Kezia and co have the collective brains of an earthworm, they will dismiss that out of hand or they can call in the undertakers!

As for a material change of circumstance? One needs only look through the BetterTogether back catalogue of broken vows, promises and lies. With more to follow.

In the meantime… we the people of Scotland need not wait while the political games are playing out.
We do not need to wait on the start of a partys political campaign.
To be Independent, we must be Independent of mind, and look beyond the political box and the establishments rules.
Where Social Movements mass and the people gather, governments quake!
Fire up the structures of the YES campaign, get the meetings going in every hamlet, village and town.
polish up the badges, have saltires flying in every street throughout the land,have the marches, get the speakers, the musicians, the writers,artists and the poets all contributing. And aim to have 1 million Scots gathering throughout the land.
Take to Social media, take to the streets, talk to everyone…and tell them the time is now.
Dont waste your time arguing with those who refuse to listen,cut them off, talk to those who will hear you out.
There will be those whose whole purpose is to deflect you, to distract you and take up your time in order to waste it… don’t give them breathing space.

We need wait no longer, our time is now, get to it!

About auldacquaintance

I am not a member of any political party. I am however a strong supporter of Scots Independence. Any views which I express in this Blog are purely my own. This Blog intends to be a place where I will be putting my views on Scots Independence. It will primarily concern itself with the upcoming Referendum In Scotland. However It will also be somewhat diverse in the range of day to day issues which are evident to me in modern day Scotland. Not all of it will be political, and indeed may take me off into avenues I am not even aware of yet. Please come and join in on this journey, and any comments are welcome provided they are not abusive! All the best from a new acquaintance! Rod
This entry was posted in Brexit, EU, Europe, independence, Nicola Sturgeon, politics, scotland, YES, YES2 and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

3 Responses to A Material Change of Circumstance

  1. Reblogged this on charlesobrien08 and commented:
    Lets get the movement started YES? YES.

  2. Yes lets get on with it all the ground work and have everybody ready for one final independence push.

  3. bringiton says:

    Meantime,I think Nicola has done the smart thing by demanding that the Tories come up with solutions for the problems they gave created.
    The onus is now on them to to show Scots how we are going to be better together sticking with England but outside the EU,or how we can have the “best of both worlds” remaining in both unions.
    This also goes for the British Labour party in Scotland who,once again,appear to be siding with the Tories ( some folk just never learn!).

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